Statistician Nate Silver was all over the news last fall when he correctly predicted the outcome of the Presidential election in all 50 states and 31 of 33 Senate seats. So we just had to get his recent book, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail – But Some Don’t for the PSC Library collection. Before Silver became the predictor of elections, he also developed the statistical model of forecasting baseball players’ performance that’s so crucial to sabermetrics.
In his book Silver attributes his success in statistical forecasting to his focus on math and collecting as much data as possible from as many different sources as possible, rather than working off hunches and other subjective means of making predictions. This sounds an awful lot like the skills we try to stress when working with students on their research assignments. In that case professors are looking for students to bring in evidence to back up their arguments from a variety of sources as well. To learn more about what Nate Silver can predict with good statistical models, check out these articles by him or his FiveThirtyEight blog.
You can also check out The Signal and the Noise and the other new titles below on the NEW BOOKS DISPLAY at the Prairie State College Library!